Anthropology and Becoming War. NATO Turkey downs Russian warplane

In practice the war-peace process can be incredibly fragile : the slightest unreasonable disturbance will disrupt the delicate agreement and destroy any possibility of peaceful political computation.We are living in the period of becoming war and as anthropologists we must help to develop some error-correcting code of peace.There is rapid growth of computational complexity. Already now...

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Comment by Michael Alexeevich Popov on March 10, 2016 at 2:53pm

Kant Peace Project and Complexity anthropology

Sometimes international relations are faced with unsolved problems and war is used as a way to reduce complexity or even as a way to solve problem. Immanuel Kant in 1795 assumed that there are peaceful legal solutions for any War-like complexity problems at all. In the terms of his transcendental idealism, human mind is limited, however, rational legal theory can provide some kind of logical reinforcement of self-discipline of the mind. Today after Two World Wars with the millions of innocent lifes-nevertheless, there exists a real possibility of the new one. Some believe that sooner or later a military conflict between NATO/West and Russia ( as a "leading sponsor of the Eastern tyrannical regimes ") could be unavoidable... Thus, Kant project became utopian curiosity now. I suppose new post - Kantian rational legal theory cannot provide Kant - like Peace, however, new computational and robotic technologies can provide real Peace Control in our very subjective world indeed. Sometimes mathematical equations are more clever then our human poor logic.Correspondingly, robo-reducers of computational complexities in international relations can suggest more optimistic peaceful future for the next generations of non-western nations.  

Comment by Michael Alexeevich Popov on February 15, 2016 at 2:08pm

Unexpected Factors.

Wrong simulation produced wrong consequences. Mr Medvedev at Munich Security Conference this weekend made special reference to BBC definition of Russia as "Nuclear aggressor" and assumed that the beginning of ground intervention of Saudi Arabia's tanks with F-15s into Syria next weeks  could start "a full scale conflict". New rhetoric on additional US 4.3billion $ "to stop aggression of Russian Federation"; ban of Russian Language in education system of Latvia are increasing number of completely unsolved problems. In this context historical meeting and anti - War declaration between Catholic and Russian Orthodox churches in Cuba can add new dimensions for NATO-Russia opposition.

Comment by Michael Alexeevich Popov on February 6, 2016 at 6:19pm

BBC's simulation.

NATO-Russia war game with zero sum was simulated by BBC "World War" Three : inside the War room" ( please, see: www.BBC.co.UK/player/episode/b06zw32  ( 3.2.16). There are crimes of passion and there are crimes of logic, as is known. Natural everyday language and "street" binary logic are not suitable for simulation of the WW3 with millions human deaths in the 21st century. Simplification of definition "natural aggressor "(=Russia) and easy cynical reflections on causes of WW3 associated with military resolution of trivial ethnic discrimination problem in Latvia cannot be accepted. Mathematicians developed polite and civilized language for imaginary simulations of similar military and political conflicts in Cold War Age. Russian mass media are already expressed some doubts on " mental health" of BBC investigators and I afraid that general scientific ignorance of "political scientists" can be a new factor for sophistication of situation. Whereas government historians, poets and fiction writers usual  try "to read" mind of potential aggressor or dictator, professionals usually are calculating upcoming risks. This is essential skill for today policymakers thinking seriously on possible usage of nuclear missiles against innocent civilians. There are no analogies for modern war in the last centuries. War changed its character entirely. All war art of the Roman empire or all experience of evolutionary anthropology of war represent dramatic simplification in reality. For example, Russia established orbital based no-fly zone in Syria and this means that all electronic devices and AI users inside such zone can lose memory per seconds. In the case of Big Conflict situation could be more complex and unpredictable. It is irresponsible to publish similar non scientific fictions today.

Comment by Michael Alexeevich Popov on January 24, 2016 at 1:53pm

SUMMARY.WHERE WE ARE?

There are scientific and non-scientific theories, correspondingly, there are applications of scientific theories and applications of non scientific theories.

For example, Evolution theory is scientific theory which today represents area of molecular biology, biochemistry and biophysics of DNA. Hence, applications of evolutionary molecular biology, biochemistry and biophysics of DNA  in human history could be understood as "evolutionary anthropology". In this context, earliest applications of Darwin's terminology of his Evolution theory in anthropology represented merely attempts to develop some dynamic logical classification for museum anthropological collections and anthropological observations. Similarly, Nazi's "evolutionary anthropology" was merely application of Darwin's rhetoric for justification of the war between West and Russia. Another example. Theory of Modernism ( high, low, post-, postpost- modernism) is not scientific theory, but merely art theoretical justification of new international style of contemporary art and literature of the last two centuries. It could be also understood as a sort of "modern religion" produced religious movements among humanities, politicians and writers. Correspondingly, applications of modernism theory and its critique cannot be connected with any science at all.

Theory of computational complexity is scientific theory, connected with generalization of mathematical and computer experiments with different classes of mathematical problems. There are solvable and unsolvable ( NP complete ) mathematical problems. Some classes of mathematical problems exist in reality and my attempt of systematic experimental investigation of one certain class of computational complexity in economics in Oxfordshire 2004-2008 suggested that NP unsolvability, true randomness and existence of one-way functions are essential in understanding of reality ( ArXiv 0904.3074). I try to apply my results for understanding of recent risks in dramatic opposition between NATO and Russia in Syria. Both sides are faced with some new class of computational complexity and they have not real control under rapidly evolving mathematical complexity. There is risk of transformation of "pseudo-game with zero sum" in true NATO-Russia game with zero sum leading to full scale war and planetary catastrophes.

Comment by Michael Alexeevich Popov on January 17, 2016 at 3:01pm

New class of computational complexity.

New dynamic of new complexity.

First weeks of 2016 were dramatic. Russian Defence minister announced the plan on new additional military groups ( divizii ) equipped with aerospace support in Western Russia, AVACS or flying centre is used in Syria, last week Russia tested random walks of mobile systems with strategic missiles on huge territory of Russia. I suppose it was symmetry reaction on NATO movements. Iran received Russian S300M  systems and Arabs started military tension with Iran. Collapse of oil markets as a new weapon in economic wars of the new generation.

Mathematically, new rapidly evolving complexity exists. Today, probably it is beyond common sensual understanding. New simplifications are needed.

Comment by Michael Alexeevich Popov on December 28, 2015 at 12:42pm

New class of computational complexity.

Public perception.

EU and USA introduced a new wave of economic sanctions against economy of Russian Federation from 22/12-23/12.2015. Russia is used system "Krasnucha" in order to produce digital hallucinations for Turkish NATO pilots attacking Russian warplanes. Air space of Syria represents now closed electronic bubble controlled from ground as well as from orbit. Nobody knows what kind of consequences we must await after 1.1.2016 associated with the beginning of self - deconstruction of Turkey and Ukraine economies.

Mathematical ontology.

As is known every class of computational complexity can be represented as a mathematical object. My attempt to represent given class of complexity as an symmetry object  is faced with difficulties. There are limits for human imagination here - well known Griess object ( Monster group ) can live in 196883 dimensional space.

Comment by Michael Alexeevich Popov on December 2, 2015 at 2:57pm

Phenomenology of New Complexity.

Current observations. 1.

NATO Members consider tragedy with Russian warplane as a decoding error, whereas Turkey suggests it may be correct command. As result two different systems of electronic & missile defense S400/C400 (Russia) and Koral system (Turkey) ara activated. The channel noise is encreesing rapidly. Russia stopped economic agreements and working visa for Turkish citizens, food embargo introduced recently from 1.1.2016. In conditions of reduced trust nobody awaits Gas Hub development in Black Sea; scientific , business and cultural communications stopped.There is real risk of "artificial " introduction of an incorrect commands. France,Germany and probably UK can perticipate in military operations in air space of Syria controlled by S400 and Russia orbital group of navigation.

Comment by Michael Alexeevich Popov on November 27, 2015 at 2:02pm

Error- correcting coding theory is connected with the class of computational complexity which was produced by Turkey attack on Russian jet.As consequence Russia established new C400 system based on space sat technologies in Syria. This is a new kind of rapidly evolving computational complexity. New numerical strategies that repair corrupted channels of communication are needed.
When I started my anthropological experimental investigation of some known class of computational complexity in Oxfordshire 2004-2008,theory of computational complexity was in some naive state. Today we have a kind of " Periodic Table " of computational complexities.
I afraid that NATO - Russia are facing with a new kind of class of evolving complexity.

Comment by Huon Wardle on November 26, 2015 at 5:32pm

Why is the transmitter-receiver model at all relevant to this issue? Even single-celled organisms are capable of reframing the meaning of certain kinds of chemical input in more than one way. 'Declaring War' is a ritual frame or performative utterance that has no absolute connection to the particular symbols transmitted beforehand; rather it makes a promise about, or institutionalises the conditions for what happens next.

Comment by Michael Alexeevich Popov on November 26, 2015 at 2:27pm

Huon, I try to avoid assumption on existence of some hidden determinism in war decision. Turkey president had well established phone communication with Russian military ( Turkey made special visit in Moscow some days before attack ). This means, complexity taking seriously is beyond any NATO control today. Hence,

HEURISTIC 2

Let some exact definitions. Suppose that we wish to transmit a text A in the form of binary digits across a noisy channel.If I send say a symbol A ( similar case was considered by structuralists in their Myth theory in the terms of pseudo scientific language ), such symbol will be recieved, if we send a zero, a zero will probably be recieved as well. In case of Becoming War the channel noise will cause a transmitted one to be mistakenly interpreted as symbol A, or a transmitted zero to be mistakenly interpreted as A. Assume we are unable to prevent the channel from causing such errors, but we can reduce deadly effects with the use of coding. Unfortunately, LS used popular simplification of taking coding algebra seriously in social anthropology.But the basic idea of mathematics of coding is very simple. We take a set of k message digits which we wish to transmit, annex to them r check digits and transmit the whole block of 

                                                          n = k + r

channel digits.Suppose that channel noise changes sufficiently few of these n, the r check digits may provide the reciever with right information to enable him to detect and correct the channel errors.

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